| Description |
Most load is covered years ahead, via LSE hedging mandates or PJM-administered procurement. |
New large loads without matching supply get curtailed first. |
Capacity market narrows to a backstop; energy and AS scarcity prices do the work. |
| Risks (per PJM) |
Needs a "super-cap" non-compliance penalty. Rapid rollout could amplify the affordability shock it aims to fix. |
"Most complex of the three paths." Needs coordinated FERC and state action. |
E&AS reforms are "non-trivial and contested." Sequencing risk: weak capacity signals before energy reform = reliability gap. |
| BESS impact |
Ambiguous. Capacity products have anchored on thermal reference units. |
Procurement driver for hyperscaler-backed storage, but no change to the wholesale revenue stack. |
Most favorable. More scarcity upside, biggest AS reforms. |