Wind captures around 87% of the average wholesale price to 2050 in the October 2026 release, and solar around 36%

Capture rate: generation-weighted price as a share of the time-weighted average price
View:
Wind
Solar
Source: Modo Energy NEM Forecast, October 2026 release
Note: Capture rates use administered-price-cap-adjusted prices at each state's regional reference node, where generators settle. Wind includes offshore wind from 2035. The NEM view weights each region by generation. Tasmania is shown in the downloadable data.
MODOENERGY